Welcome to One Finite Planet.
This site contains analysis of topics and subtopics all relating to the reality of humanity now needing to adjust to the reality that our planet is finite.
As this is neither a news site or blog, updates are mostly in form of improvements to existing pages, and new pages are rare.
Each topic also has its own pages, and while the topics are all interlinked to build chapters of a “blook“, the topics are also diverse, so selecting a specific topic from the ‘topics’ drop down may be the best way to find content of interest.
The topics are chosen as those where I, as an analyst and futurist feel I can contribute, or have found surprises beyond those already on the web.
Topics
Population: The Elephant in the room.
Are there too many, or too few?
Environment: With only One Finite Planet, does sustainability become essential, or an expensive and inconvenient?
Influence:
How the quest to ‘farm’ humanity for wealth and power is creating a crisis where truth is at risk, and technology makes knowing what is real ever more challenging.
Tools drive the evolution of our societies and our species.
Do advances in technology enable new ‘superpowers’, or just provide new toys?
Population: yes we have overpopulation but this one is full of surprises, includong surprising economic implictions.
The ‘poster child’ of environment discussion breaks out into its own topic,
Beyond the climate, the popular issues of habitat destruction, extinctions, and plastic waste, there are still suprises that are overlooked, as well as predictions and analyss on covid-19/pandemics that may surprise.
remember when a photograph was proof? Is a video still evidence? What
can we still be certain of in the world of fake news and outrage media
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, is about the likely future outcomes. In the first section, the outcomes are those likely in response to challenges (or “threats” in SWAT terminology), while those in the second section are pure opportunities. section 2, “opportunities”.
Continually updated evolving book on a set of 8 topic groups, that i have found to constain surprises, and key insights into the likely future.
wraps around.
This site started in 2015, for reasons outlined in ‘why’.
Topics here have evolved to now be grouped under threats and opportunities. All contain subjects I have found to surprise, give insight into our future, or both.
, and have evolved to cover subjects i have found
the future
Not advocacy of what people should do, nor outrage about what people are doing, but a collection of observations that i find either suprising, revealing about the future, or both.
Topics and Subtopics.
Surprise, Shortest day ever recorded surprises: Not the solstice!
EV transition: Not fully green and taking until at least 2045.
Battery Electric Cars? Or Is Hydrogen The Future For Cars?
Surprise, Shortest day ever recorded surprises: Not the solstice!
This page is more under the heading of ‘fun facts’.
The first ‘fun fact’ is that while everyone knows how the length of daytime and nigh time vary throughout the year, it may come as a surprise to realise the length of the entire day, also varies. Partly because, second fun fact, the a day is a longer than one rotation of the Earth, which lead to the third fun fact: we just had the shortest total day ever recorded.
Page Updates: OFP Posts plugin, and why updates matter, and how to find them.
I am an analyst, not a journalist, which means the focus of this site is analysis. Journalists, with the word ‘jour’ at the start of their title, present pages which will normally be in their final correct form from day one.
Analysis is very different. Many topics analyses continue to evolve, and while a report on what happened at a point in time should remain intact, analysis should continually be updated to reflect current, rather than now outdated conclusions. Updates are essential for information to remain relevant.
Ukraine: Putin and China, method or madness?
What if Russia and China both intended that the invasion of Ukraine would trigger global inflation and food shortages, and a potentially new financial crisis?
That Putin sees himself in the image of Peter the Great and restoring the Russian empire is no secret, and is generally portrayed as evidence that Putin has completely lost the plot. But what if there is a bigger plan involving both Russia and China that starts with triggering a global financial crisis? A dangerous game by two desperate leaders needing to bring others with them as their own economies collapse.
Ghost cities and ghost homes: housing finance crisis?
“Anyone who believes in indefinite growth in anything physical, on a physically finite planet, is either mad or an economist.”
Attributed to Kenneth Boulding in: United States. Congress. House (1973)
This applies to not just to population growth, but just maybe also to the growth in value of housing.
This page is a look at ‘ghost cities’ and ‘ghost homes’, and the window they provide into how distorted investment can become in the pursuit of growth.
The end result of the distortions can be overvalued assets funded by highly leveraged ordinary citizens. If that is the case, not just with ghost cities but beyond, the correction will clearly present a financial crisis.
EV transition: Not fully green and taking until at least 2045.
Its 2022, and only 1 in 8 new car purchases globally is an EV, and as only 1 in 4 car purchases is a new car, so only 1 in 32, or 3% of all car purchases are an EV purchase. While the EV percentage is rising, there will be gas/petrol/diesel cars until at least 2045, and little reduction in emissions prior to at least 2040.
As demand for EVs will continue to outstrip supply, no one will need to choose an EV to save the planet, or run out of other choices any time soon. Bans are to pressure manufacturers, to get them to produce enough EVs to meet demand, rather than force people wanting EVs into ICEVs so makers can leverage their existing assets.
Big Oil, AKA Big Fossil: How real, and what about ‘big climate’?
Yes, big oil clearly has a vested interest in arguing against climate change and downplaying risks, but on the other hand, aren’t there also vested interests exaggerating and overstating the risks of climate change? Effectively ‘big renewables’, ‘big science’ or ‘big climate’?
This is a look at the financial might on each side of the argument, and the respective motives for each side to overstate their case.
Is this really a balanced fight, or is it more like the might of ‘big tobacco’ vs ‘whistle blower medical research’ all over again?
Welcome to One Finite World. As opposed to blog posts that convey a persons thoughts at one point in time, most pages here continue to evolve to be improved and updated over time, and are explorations of ideas being examined to discover answers, by career analyst of future trends with a background in science.me to One Finite World. These pages are explorations of a variety of topics from a futurist perspective, and unlike blog posts, have their content updated and improved over time.
The pages are not “this is what I think”, but more “here is the information I have, so what is the answer, and am I missing things?”.
What is here that might be of interest? And how to find it? The summaries, surprises and myths are of potential interest to everyone, while other content is more specialised. The search box and categories to right may help, but the contents below intended to best facilitatinallow finding anything and is organised from general interest through to the more specific as the intended best path to navigate to find content of interest, with the most common theme be .
Population. My journey to understanding population and overpopulation.
- Normal Population growth mirrors what happens with cells within our bodies, there is growth to maturity, growth for repair, but otherwise, there is stability.
- Our recent population explosion was not normal, and resulting in an unsustainable population without major concessions to how we live.
- We are at peak child and approaching Peak Humanity:
- We have only one finite planet, and it is already full of life. Further growth of the human population, requires a reduction in the population of other life.
- Further population growth will erode quality of life for all but a small elite group.
- —
- We have only one finite world, which can only host a finite amount of life. One of the biggest questions is how much of the life we share the planet with should be other humans, and how much do we leave for other living things?
- Is increasing the percentage of life that is us humans essential for economic growth, or from a certain point, does it means a smaller share each of an increasingly damaged planet?
- Does the qualify of life suffer for all without the wealth to increase their share?
- A summary of the findings from exploration of the population explosion, the impact of future population, and how this elephant in the room taboo topic is not only, as discussed by David Attenborough, critical to the natural world.
- The economic future as the battle intensifies between those running the humanity equivalent to a chicken farm, and the masses or ‘caged hens’ producing the golden eggs.
- Key highlights and surprises from deeper explorations of contemporary topics such as:
Will Electric Cars Change the Balance of Economic and Military Power In the World?
Covid-19, and how long will vaccinations against Covid-19 be required?- Social media uses the power of AI to increase polarisation, dissatisfaction and outrage. Why?
The Earth has only recently supported life on land, and that support will not continue for much longer..- Why do CO2 levels create a climate crisis now, when it was not a problem back when there were dinosaurs?
UFOs, are real! Now even Obama, Republicans and the current US government are spilling the beans.
- In depth explorations of a range of contemporary topics for those interested in the topics:
- Population, Overpopulation, and the 300 year population explosion.
- Polarisation and Conflict, and Left vs Right: The ideology of conflict and we all get along in a world where polarisation has now been monetized.
- Wealth Creation and Distribution: Earths almost 8 billion needs food, clothing, housing and more.
- Electric Cars and the changes to society once stop being too expensive for mainstream buyers.
- ‘Posts’ that reflect a chronology of events:
Trump and the 2020 US election.- Covid-19, from first being alarmed back in Jan 2020 through an observation of the pandemic from Australia.
- Science and Technology Explorations.
- Science, from science background and relativity made simple through to theories as the cutting edge.
- Technology, ‘Free Technology‘ and Robotics.
- Electric Vehicles.
- Product Reviews: Of potential interest to those looking for information on a product I have reviewed.
“Anyone who believes in indefinite growth in anything physical, on a physically finite planet, is either mad or an economist.”
Attributed to Kenneth Boulding in: United States. Congress. House (1973)