Topics and Subtopics.
All: September 14, 2021

September 14, 2021

2025: The future of cars, robotaxis & EVs. Will EVs die out, or eventually take over?

2025: The future of cars, robotaxis & EVs. Will EVs die out, or eventually take over?

This page (and the video) look at key questions on the future of cars & EVs:

  • Will robotaxis mean really no one will want to own a car anymore?
  • Even if people do still want cars, will EVs just die out or eventually take over?
  • What about hydrogen, e-fuels, or the countries like the USA dropping any climate agenda?
  • EV have improved a lot, but need to do more before they are fully suitable for _most_ people.
  • If EVs & infrastructure are just not yet ready for most people, what's the next step?
Wright’s Law: The secret to knowing what’s next for products & product prices.

Wright’s Law: The secret to knowing what’s next for products & product prices.

Understanding Wright's Law, is key to knowing what technology, at what price, is coming next, and how prices of current technologies will change. It also has significant implication on completeness of USA vs China vs the rest how AI can revolutionise the cost of introducing new products.

Cars, Trucks & EVs: Can the EV save the car?

Cars, Trucks & EVs: Can the EV save the car?

This is the lead webpaper for all content related to personal vehicles, cars and trucks and their future. While most content is on the EVs and hybrids that I see as the future of transition of personal vehicles, the overall focus is on the future of car ownership.

Many, even including Elon Musk, claim that in the future, people won't need to own a car. I suggest that sentiment misses that cars don't get gets us from A to B, but instead are places we spend the part of our lives while getting from A to B, and sometimes are even our home base when simply at B instead of A.

In fact, a future where only the wealthy can own their own vehicles is heading towards the direction of reducing personal living space and "caged humans" where it could also be suggested "people won't need their own home".

While site embraces moving to EVs, but no the agenda that EVs most be only ever smaller city cars, or better still just electric bicycles. EVs should allow the vehicles we want to own to be sustainable, that is provided we don't also succumb to living in cities that seek ever denser population densities.

Parent / Sub topics
EVs stalling in 2024: End of the road, Speedbump, or buyers caught between Trump, Musk and China?

EVs stalling in 2024: End of the road, Speedbump, or buyers caught between Trump, Musk and China?

Depending on who you ask, EV sales could be either booming or grinding to a halt. Even AI answered: "The web results are contradictory and show different perspectives", and Ford on same day the same company reported record EV sales and a plan to cut back on EV plans due to lack of buyer interest. So, what is really happening? Can biases be sidestepped to uncover a real answer? As is often the case, reality is a mix of both answers. Globally, EV sales are still growing, but growing slower, and in some places, sales are stalling.
Living with an Atto 3 EV in 2023: An Australian Experience and FAQ.

Living with an Atto 3 EV in 2023: An Australian Experience and FAQ.

This page began as a 'Should you buy an EV or not?' written from experience, but as it is impossible to cover every possible perspective, the example is an Atto 3 in Australia, so the more similar the vehicle being considered is to the Atto 3, and the more similar the country to Australia the more of this content that will be of interest. For comparison with other vehicles, I have a separate page soon to be published comparing the Atto 3 to both other EVs as well as traditional internal combustion or hybrid vehicles.
Tesla Enigma & Musk Dummy Spit April 2024: No longer a car company? Will Tesla become another Twitter?

Tesla Enigma & Musk Dummy Spit April 2024: No longer a car company? Will Tesla become another Twitter?

In April 2024, following a disappointing below expectations Q1 sales result, Tesla began layoffs to up to 20% of its workforce, announced a focus on "Robotaxi" in priority over a new more mass-market entry-level model sometimes referred by the press as the "model 2", and saw the departure of many Tesla senior personnel who had previously shared the stage with Musk at media events. Can the EV world really afford see this move positioning the company key to having brought EVs this far as a "not a car company". What is happening? Are the layoffs etc. just Elon Musk having a dummy spit, a period of turmoil, or does the shadow of Twitter mean the dream of Tesla becoming a leading carmaker over?
Accessorised Evolution: The human difference is evolution of our accessories/tools.

Accessorised Evolution: The human difference is evolution of our accessories/tools.

The defining difference between humans and other species is that the "accessories" we make evolve independently of our genes. The difference between humans of 50,000 years ago and the 21st century can be seen by anyone, while birds' nests, beavers' dams and bees' hives only evolve when the species evolves. In the spirit of Batman and Ironman, our 'accessories' or 'tools' allow to outcompete other species confined by biological evolution and provide humans with enhanced abilities that could even be seen by past generations as superpowers. Genetically we may be similar to humans of over 50,000 years ago, but our accessories make us very different in ways that impact us from our population to tolerance of others.
2023 may not the year to buy an EV, but it’s definitely very late to risk buying a new ICEV!

2023 may not the year to buy an EV, but it’s definitely very late to risk buying a new ICEV!

While there are still valid reasons for most to hesitate before buying an EV in 2023, it's definitely late to risk buying a new ICE vehicle and may be a better time to instead plan a combustion engine exit. Considering the trend from where EVs were 5 years ago to today, and then projecting EV sales growth over the next 5 years, and it seems almost certain almost all new ICEVs of today face an obsolescence risk. While this does not mean everyone should rush out and buy an EV, it is an opportunity to prepare for an aspect of the future that may catch some unawares.
Webpapers

Tesla & Elon Musk: Packages, Robotaxis & why Musk must go.

AI + Self-Driving Car Sensors Explained: LIDAR vs Radar, Cameras & Ultrasonic.

AI + Self-Driving Car Sensors Explained: LIDAR vs Radar, Cameras & Ultrasonic.

V2G, V2H, V2L, bi-directional EV / EV-Hybrid charging: Solar or not, it changes energy bills!

V2G, V2H, V2L, bi-directional EV / EV-Hybrid charging: Solar or not, it changes energy bills!

BYD Shark 6: BYD rival for the Ford Ranger.

BYD Shark 6: BYD rival for the Ford Ranger.

BYD. Who is BYD?

BYD. Who is BYD?

Elon Musk 2024 dream of a $30 trillion future: Could it happen?

Elon Musk 2024 dream of a $30 trillion future: Could it happen?

Tracking the fall of Legacy Car Brands as EVs Rise.

Tracking the fall of Legacy Car Brands as EVs Rise.

Musk supports Trump 2024: Is US democracy for sale, and why would Musk be buying?

Musk supports Trump 2024: Is US democracy for sale, and why would Musk be buying?

BYD Sealion 7: BYD targets the Model Y?

BYD Sealion 7: BYD targets the Model Y?

BYD: BYD models coming in 2024/2025 to export markets of “the rest” such as Australia.

BYD: BYD models coming in 2024/2025 to export markets of “the rest” such as Australia.

Tesla vs BYD: Market competitors or duopoly?

Tesla vs BYD: Market competitors or duopoly?

Software and tips for BYD Atto 3 + other BYD EVs.

Software and tips for BYD Atto 3 + other BYD EVs.

BYD Sealion 6: BYD “out hybrids” the Toyota RAV4.

BYD Sealion 6: BYD “out hybrids” the Toyota RAV4.

EV Battery Reference: Basics, Technologies, Care & Benefits.

EV Battery Reference: Basics, Technologies, Care & Benefits.

BYD now targets Toyota’s “step to EVs” as DM-i + DMO EV hybrids go global in 2024 with Shark & Sealion 6.

BYD now targets Toyota’s “step to EVs” as DM-i + DMO EV hybrids go global in 2024 with Shark & Sealion 6.

Decades long EV transition with no green quick fix.

Decades long EV transition with no green quick fix.

What’s needed to profitably make vehicles, and are only Tesla and BYD there yet with EVs in 2023?

What’s needed to profitably make vehicles, and are only Tesla and BYD there yet with EVs in 2023?

Hydrogen facts: No, it’s not abundant on Earth. Nor green nor an energy source, but energy storage.

Hydrogen facts: No, it’s not abundant on Earth. Nor green nor an energy source, but energy storage.

RCS – The SMS successor and blue bubbles vs green culture war.

RCS – The SMS successor and blue bubbles vs green culture war.

Why EV Battery size is not just about range, and the implications for hybrids.

Why EV Battery size is not just about range, and the implications for hybrids.

Mr Bean cans EVs: what he gets right.

Toyota: Failure inevitable?

Toyota: Failure inevitable?

Australia as a clean energy superpower? Yeah…nah!

Australia as a clean energy superpower? Yeah…nah!

What the F is 5G? What is new, and what are the risks?

What the F is 5G? What is new, and what are the risks?

Why Car Makers are Lying about the storm.

Electric Cars 2025: ‘adding up’ will create a revolution. Who wins, who loses? China? Japan?

ARMs Race Risc: Episode 1, Apple and Microsoft

ARMs Race Risc: Episode 2, Why Microsoft needs RISC!

EV Price-Parity: It’s here already – sometimes, and EVs are setting sales records in key segments.

EV Price-Parity: It’s here already – sometimes, and EVs are setting sales records in key segments.

EV, Hybrid or ICE: Pros & Cons of HEV, PHEV, EREV, Gas/Petrol/Diesel (ICEV), BEV (Electric)?

EV, Hybrid or ICE: Pros & Cons of HEV, PHEV, EREV, Gas/Petrol/Diesel (ICEV), BEV (Electric)?

5G, Wi-Fi 7 (WiFi), Bluetooth & UWB: Why do we need them, and how do they all fit?

5G, Wi-Fi 7 (WiFi), Bluetooth & UWB: Why do we need them, and how do they all fit?

One pedal driving, lift-off regen and regen braking explained: reality, myths, hype, fads and Tesla vs the rest.

One pedal driving, lift-off regen and regen braking explained: reality, myths, hype, fads and Tesla vs the rest.

The two speed EV transition: Manufactures vs consumers. (part 1)

The two speed EV transition: Manufactures vs consumers. (part 1)

BYD in Australia. The Atto 3 and beyond.

BYD in Australia. The Atto 3 and beyond.

EVs 2023: Is Tesla losing its cool as BYD ascends?

EVs 2023: Is Tesla losing its cool as BYD ascends?

BYD Atto 3 / Yuan Plus: The first 3rd wave EV arrives in Australia, and then the world.

BYD Atto 3 / Yuan Plus: The first 3rd wave EV arrives in Australia, and then the world.

The Electric Vehicle Road Trip Problem: EVs in Australian and USA as Examples.

The Electric Vehicle Road Trip Problem: EVs in Australian and USA as Examples.

Surviving with an EV and no driveway: on street charging.

Surviving with an EV and no driveway: on street charging.

EV Charging for Apartment complexes: A problem that can require a battle.

EV Charging for Apartment complexes: A problem that can require a battle.

EV Charging Reference: Not just the new Refuelling.

EV Charging Reference: Not just the new Refuelling.

Charge Time Calculator: Configured for Atto 3.

Charge Time Calculator: Configured for Atto 3.

The 3rd EV wave: Tesla and the Chinese are coming, and in a hurry!

The 3rd EV wave: Tesla and the Chinese are coming, and in a hurry!

Solar Electric Vehicle Future: What you can, and can’t do with solar power.

Solar Electric Vehicle Future: What you can, and can’t do with solar power.

A deeper look how EVs impact the power grid.

A deeper look how EVs impact the power grid.

Why Hydrogen Cars are not the future, and EVs are here to stay.

Why Hydrogen Cars are not the future, and EVs are here to stay.

EV Battery swapping: Recharge or Refuel?

EV Battery swapping: Recharge or Refuel?

EV range: Anxieties vs realities & needs and the “real-world range” myth.

EV range: Anxieties vs realities & needs and the “real-world range” myth.

EV Range & Economy: Decoding the Numbers.

EV Range & Economy: Decoding the Numbers.

WordPress.com to the Next Level: Plugins, Elementor, CoBlocks?

WordPress.com to the Next Level: Plugins, Elementor, CoBlocks?

The electrical grid, V2G and EV Home Charging: Missing an opportunity for the planet.

The electrical grid, V2G and EV Home Charging: Missing an opportunity for the planet.

Personal Mobility Advance: Unagi Model One Electric Scooter. Unagi Model 11 Mystery.

Personal Mobility Advance: Unagi Model One Electric Scooter. Unagi Model 11 Mystery.

2022: Year Of The EV take over, and beginning of the end for the ‘Legacy’ Industry.

2022: Year Of The EV take over, and beginning of the end for the ‘Legacy’ Industry.

Vehicles And Mobility: Road Trips and Other Superpowers.

Vehicles And Mobility: Road Trips and Other Superpowers.

Electric Vehicle Tipping Point in 2022: An end to EV subsidies?

Revolution?: HDMI ARC, eARC and S/PDIF

Digital Cameras: Crop vs ‘Full Frame’

Digital Cameras: Crop vs ‘Full Frame’

Apple Evolution: Which premium market next?

Will Apple One Day Ditch the Mac/MacBook?

All Free? The Tech Industry is so dumb!

Images, Making Animated GIFs & Solving colour problems.

Images, Making Animated GIFs & Solving colour problems.

ScoMo Ingenious EV Plan: Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison, leading climate action blocker, stretching the truth again?

ScoMo Ingenious EV Plan: Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison, leading climate action blocker, stretching the truth again?

Hydrogen Future or Fool’s Gold & Scams: “Where does the hydrogen come from?”

Hydrogen Future or Fool’s Gold & Scams: “Where does the hydrogen come from?”

Dark Stuff: Dark Matter, Dark Energy and Antigravity.

WTF? UFOs are Real? (OK, UAPs or Unidentified Aerial Phenomena)

WTF? UFOs are Real? (OK, UAPs or Unidentified Aerial Phenomena)

EV Charging Systems: Reference

EV Charging Systems: Reference

Electric Cars: 2021, EVs Just Don’t add up (yet).

Electric Cars: 2021, EVs Just Don’t add up (yet).

Camera System Sizes: Phones vs Nikon 1 vs 4/3 vs APSc vs 35mm vs Medium

Autonomous Cars: What’s needed for self-driving and are Lidar & Maps Fools-Gold

Autonomous Cars: What’s needed for self-driving and are Lidar & Maps Fools-Gold