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All: US threats to democracy

Why do so many Americans support Trump in 2024: They’re not all crazy or weird, many fear being disenfranchised.

To many people, both those within the US as well as perhaps most outside the US, a vote for Trump is seen as something hard to understand and even seen as the uneducated or the domain “others”: people seen as are very different from “normal people”. Yet 50% Americans are not radically different “others”, nor uneducated, nor stupid, even though around 50% will vote for trump.

With around 80% of Americans believing the country is on the “wrong track”, is it any surprise a large number feel if trends continue, they risk being disenfranchised by that “wrong track” and are desperate to believe only a big change can protect their rights?

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Mechanics of US Presidential Elections: A warts and all outsider’s primer.

George Washington was elected unanimously by the 69 electors from the 10 participating states in the in augural election of a US president in 1788. In practice how the system works in the 21st century’s USA of over 330 million people is very different from in the USA of 1788 with less than 4 million people, the underlying principle is still that the states each choose electors to an electoral college who together determine who is to be the president, but in practice today the people of each state get to vote for how their states electors will vote.

This is how it works, and a look at what could possibly stop it working as expected.

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Biden-Harris the sequel: No choice for US voters?

Like many others, back in February 2024 I wrote that A Biden-Harris ticket would not cut it for the 2024 election. The debate highlighted the problems of US voters again being faced with Biden and Trump: almost no one sees this as a choice between two good options.

The Biden problem will be resolved, but no, it was not just about losing a debate, it was about his inability to maintain his train of thought during the debate, and the risk that presents for another full term in office. Arguably, the focus has all along been only on polarisation and wins for political parties, rather than visions for the future.

Democracy should offer the people choices of a say in their future, but under current systems becomes more about personalities. Looking deeper reveals even without the current issues, it is unclear the US voters get a real choice and real say in what elections should determine.

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Biden-Harris, won’t cut it, but will they both take a step back for democracy and the Trump Biden rematch?

A step back for Biden would be to run for vice-president in 2024, and for Harris it would be off the ticket.

From this point on, it seems hard to argue that age will not hinder Biden’s chances of defeating Trump in 2024, and without Harris having generated sufficient enthusiasm, the Democrats really need a team refresh to take the polls.

While technically they have plenty of time, in practice to make a smooth change they are running out of time and would need the support of both Biden and Harris.

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Lord Trumpemort and the ballot eaters: doom for democracy?

History proves that it is not only in fiction that even the most questionable agendas imaginable can attract many followers. And, like Voldemort, Trump also has a plan to return even if he has no right to return.

Trump now has the weight of a political party behind his likely actual belief that the electoral process in the USA cannot be trusted to declare the genuine winner the right to rule, and to Trump followers, after the next election he will be their president no matter who is initially declared winner.

Even if Trump is not declared winner from the vote count, he could still be appointed, and if not, there will be the threat of a coup to end elections from tens of millions who will see Trump their president in internal exile. If Trump does become president again, he will take steps to prevent the “injustice of 2020” ever being repeated again. Perhaps it makes sense that his enemies are called the “democrats”.

The global consequences of Trump being returned to power go beyond the US and beyond democracy.

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What if Trump isn’t lying? What if it is far, far worse?

There are a lot of claims that Trump “lies all the time”. But consider for a moment, what if Trump is not lying, but instead actually comes to believe the things he says? What if we are watching someone go down rabbit holes as they receive adulation when saying crazy things? And what if this is what happened to Hitler?

There are clearly times it when fact checkers don’t support what Trump has said and many times, when what Trump says contradicts what he said earlier. A key question is, is this because Trump is lying, or because Trump actually believes, more significantly, comes to believe things he did not believe before? What if Trump is changing?

Opponents often claim Trump knows the truth because he has been told, but then again, having been told the truth doesn’t seem to stop flat earthers.

Hidden behind the answer to how often, if at all, Trump is lying, may be answer to what did happen in Nazi Germany, and while Trump is not Hitler, how Trump could be on the same type of path to Trump’s own form of extremism.

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Could history of Trump vs Biden 2020 be rewritten?

It seems almost half of all US voters at least somewhat believe Trump on the 2020 election being subject to fraud and if you read all the information being broadcast as found for this post, a person could be forgiven for believing in many ways Trump did deserve to win in 2020.

I know. There are a lot of claims that Trump “lies all the time”. But consider for a moment, what if instead of lying Trump believes the things he says and keeps managing to convince others?

People now tolerate Trump claiming Jan 6th rioters are heroes, so how far can this go? Hidden behind the answer to how often, if at all, Trump is lying, is the answer to the question: is Trump malevolent, or foolish? I suggest that answer does matter. A lot, because he came so close that it is clear his strategy could win for someone in future.

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US threats to democracy

Lord Trumpemort and the ballot eaters: doom for democracy?

Lord Trumpemort and the ballot eaters: doom for democracy?

History proves that it is not only in fiction that even the most questionable agendas imaginable can attract many followers. And, like Voldemort, Trump also has a plan to return even if he has no right to return.

Trump now has the weight of a political party behind his likely actual belief that the electoral process in the USA cannot be trusted to declare the genuine winner the right to rule, and to Trump followers, after the next election he will be their president no matter who is initially declared winner.

Even if Trump is not declared winner from the vote count, he could still be appointed, and if not, there will be the threat of a coup to end elections from tens of millions who will see Trump their president in internal exile. If Trump does become president again, he will take steps to prevent the "injustice of 2020" ever being repeated again. Perhaps it makes sense that his enemies are called the "democrats".

The global consequences of Trump being returned to power go beyond the US and beyond democracy.

Parent / Sub topics
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Why do so many Americans support Trump in 2024: They’re not all crazy or weird, many fear being disenfranchised.

Why do so many Americans support Trump in 2024: They’re not all crazy or weird, many fear being disenfranchised.

Mechanics of US Presidential Elections: A warts and all outsider’s primer.

Mechanics of US Presidential Elections: A warts and all outsider’s primer.

Biden-Harris the sequel: No choice for US voters?

Biden-Harris the sequel: No choice for US voters?

What if Trump isn’t lying? What if it is far, far worse?

What if Trump isn’t lying? What if it is far, far worse?

Biden-Harris, won’t cut it, but will they both take a step back for democracy and the Trump Biden rematch?

Biden-Harris, won’t cut it, but will they both take a step back for democracy and the Trump Biden rematch?

Could history of Trump vs Biden 2020 be rewritten?

Could history of Trump vs Biden 2020 be rewritten?

The Irony of The Bloomberg 2020 Campaign

The Irony of The Bloomberg 2020 Campaign

Wealth Tax: Good Idea? Bad Idea?

Biden vs Trump: A World Changing US Election?

Biden vs Trump: A World Changing US Election?

2020: Trump ‘wins’ on election Night?

2020: Trump To Declare Victory on election Night? Violence and Intimation? (revision II)

OK, Election day over, who won and what now?

OK, Election day over, who won and what now?

Winners! but.. without the senate?

US Election: Why The Flip The Switch States?

Donald Trump: Victory Still Possible?

US 2020 Election: Never ending story

US 2020 Election: Never ending story

System Failure: USA, Jan 6th 2021

System Failure: USA, Jan 6th 2021

Trump: Conceding? Or Plotting?

Andrew Yang: Dangerous? Or too different?

Andrew Yang: Dangerous? Or too different?