Populist right vs Economic Conservatives

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Donald Trump personifies the a populist right leader. This post looks at what this means and how this movement can be so at odds with other ‘conservatives’.

The Origin of The Conservative Right.

The basic origin of ‘left and right‘ in politics can from the wealthy and powerful being to seated to the right and the commoners being seated to the left in the assembly presenting to the king.  Those with power and wealth support those in power, that seems axiomatic. Then there are those that support those with wealth and power, not because themselves hold, wealth and power, but because they believe those people must have earnt that wealth and power.  The belief is that those who are deserving will achieve wealth and power, and must be encouraged to achieve that wealth and power.  Society benefits from the wealth and power generated by the wealthy and powerful.  The central idea of trickle down economics.   The left represented the commoners, who logically would benefit from the distribution of wealth and power to those the right may consider unworthy.  There is some merit in both arguments, as society does need to encourage and provide incentive to those who can excel, but there is also a case for sharing those rewards with those less fortunate.  Debating the ideologies is for another time.

The Rise of the Populist Right.

The populist right is basically ‘commoners’, who see themselves as currently more wealthy and powerful than other commoners, so they are embracing the position of the wealthy and powerful, relative to groups they feel threaten their wealth and power.  The groups the populist right fee threatened by are typically foreigners, immigrants and racial groups other than their own.  I would argue that the reality is that it is the ‘finite world‘ effect that is seeing this group feel the share of wealth and power they previously held eroded, and with no reason for their slide of their wealth and power presented, they rebel against change, immigration, free trade and are also receptive to messages against other changes such as any move to renewable fuels.

The Clash with The Conservative Right

While the populists are seeing their wealth and power eroded, the smaller group of those who have a much higher level of wealth and power are actually seeing their wealth and power rise as population grows and global free trade increases. This puts them in a very contrasting position with the populist group, although they do also tend to also fear change of the status quo.

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Why do so many Americans support Trump in 2024: They’re not all crazy or weird, many fear being disenfranchised.

To many people, both those within the US as well as perhaps most outside the US, a vote for Trump is seen as something hard to understand and even seen as the uneducated or the domain “others”: people seen as are very different from “normal people”. Yet 50% Americans are not radically different “others”, nor uneducated, nor stupid, even though around 50% will vote for trump.

With around 80% of Americans believing the country is on the “wrong track”, is it any surprise a large number feel if trends continue, they risk being disenfranchised by that “wrong track” and are desperate to believe only a big change can protect their rights?

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Mechanics of US Presidential Elections: A warts and all outsider’s primer.

George Washington was elected unanimously by the 69 electors from the 10 participating states in the in augural election of a US president in 1788. In practice how the system works in the 21st century’s USA of over 330 million people is very different from in the USA of 1788 with less than 4 million people, the underlying principle is still that the states each choose electors to an electoral college who together determine who is to be the president, but in practice today the people of each state get to vote for how their states electors will vote.

This is how it works, and a look at what could possibly stop it working as expected.

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Biden-Harris the sequel: No choice for US voters?

Like many others, back in February 2024 I wrote that A Biden-Harris ticket would not cut it for the 2024 election. The debate highlighted the problems of US voters again being faced with Biden and Trump: almost no one sees this as a choice between two good options.

The Biden problem will be resolved, but no, it was not just about losing a debate, it was about his inability to maintain his train of thought during the debate, and the risk that presents for another full term in office. Arguably, the focus has all along been only on polarisation and wins for political parties, rather than visions for the future.

Democracy should offer the people choices of a say in their future, but under current systems becomes more about personalities. Looking deeper reveals even without the current issues, it is unclear the US voters get a real choice and real say in what elections should determine.

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The economy is about consumer spending not production: Confirmed by Swiftonomics.

All economics seem to agree that the Taylor Swift Eras tour boosted the economy everywhere she went, but while it is clear that there was a boost to spending, it is not so clear people benefit beyond getting to enjoy a concert.

This is a look at whether, at least in some cases, factors that boost an economy may do nothing to increase wealth within that economy and could even reduce wealth within that economy.

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Biden-Harris, won’t cut it, but will they both take a step back for democracy and the Trump Biden rematch?

A step back for Biden would be to run for vice-president in 2024, and for Harris it would be off the ticket.

From this point on, it seems hard to argue that age will not hinder Biden’s chances of defeating Trump in 2024, and without Harris having generated sufficient enthusiasm, the Democrats really need a team refresh to take the polls.

While technically they have plenty of time, in practice to make a smooth change they are running out of time and would need the support of both Biden and Harris.

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Pressing problem: Perspective on immigration in America & other developed countries.

I just watched a video I found disturbing on CNN arguing the case that America is a better place than most American’s believe.

It was disturbing not because like everywhere else, the US has imperfections, or that America is a bad place, but because it felt like the commentor, and member of the press, was not focused on interests of the people of America but considered only commercial interests when evaluating the direction in which the country should be headed.

In looking at the instincts of the free press even in a leading country like America, there may be valuable insights is to what is wrong across the planet.

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