One Finite Planet

Welcome to One Finite Planet.

This site designed as a “blook“:  a continually evolving and live updating book with all work in progress shared as content candidates as they evolve.

With with 7 topics divided into the two sections shown below.  For each topics, there is a focus on what I feel I can contribute, given there are so many resources already existing on the web. 

All pages are explorations and can be found here, and the previous contents page is here.

The topics are chosen as those where I as a futurist have found potential future scenarios contain surprises

For each section there is : Candidates, Surprises, Published.

Section 1: The Challenges.

Population: yes we have overpopulation but this one is full of surprises, includong surprising economic implictions.

The ‘poster child’ of environment discussion breaks out into its own topic,

Beyond the climate, the popular issues of habitat destruction, extinctions, and plastic waste, there are still suprises that are overlooked, as well as predictions and analyss on covid-19/pandemics that may surprise.

remember when a photograph was proof? Is a video still evidence? What
can we still be certain of in the world of fake news and outrage media 

Population: The Elephant in the room.

The ‘poster child’ of environment discussion as its own topic.

With only One Finite World, sustainability becomes essential.

Once, a photograph was proof, now we fake news and  outrage media.

Section 2: The Opportunities.

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The first step for progress.

From the science to the technology.

Does the technology enable give up new ‘superpowers’, and just provide toys?

, is about the likely future outcomes. In the first section, the outcomes are those likely in response to challenges (or “threats” in SWAT terminology), while those in the second section are pure opportunities. section 2, “opportunities”. 

Continually updated evolving book on a set of 8 topic groups, that i have found to constain surprises, and key insights into the likely future.

wraps around.

This site started in 2015, for reasons outlined in ‘why’.

Topics here have evolved to now be grouped under threats and opportunities. All contain subjects I have found to surprise, give insight into our future, or both.

, and have evolved to cover subjects i have found 

the future

 

Not advocacy of what people should do, nor outrage about what people are doing, but a collection of observations that i find either suprising, revealing about the future, or both.

Topics and Subtopics.
Recent Explorations

Ghost cities and ghost homes: housing finance crisis?

Anyone who believes in indefinite growth in anything physical, on a physically finite planet, is either mad or an economist.”

Attributed to Kenneth Boulding in: United States. Congress. House (1973) 

This applies to not just to population growth, but just maybe also to the growth in value of housing.

This page is a look at ‘ghost cities’ and ‘ghost homes’, and the window they provide into how distorted investment can become in the pursuit of growth.

The end result of the distortions can be overvalued assets funded by highly leveraged ordinary citizens. If that is the case, not just with ghost cities but beyond, the correction will clearly present a financial crisis.

Read More »

The EV climate change lag problem: Don’t buy an EV just to save the planet.

The bad news is EVs won’t help in time to keep global warming below +2.0oC, or reduce emissions in the critical years up to 2040. The EV transition means things still get worse before they get better, until late as 2050. The problem is not the ‘long tailpipe argument‘, but the challenge of the transition to EVs. EVs do, over their lifetime, result in a reduction in emissions, but the whole process can take decades, does not alone solve immediate climate problem. Emissions can even be worse if too many people buy EVs too soon.

Read More »

Big Oil, AKA Big Fossil: How real, and what about ‘big climate’?

It is clear that significant funding is directed to promoting the continued use of fossil fuel.

Time after time I find the need to make this claim, and as I do not make claims without supporting evidence, so each time it triggers a search for supporting evidence.

I have now decided to create a page with links to supporting evidence, as an improving over multiple pages each linking directly to one or two pieces of the puzzle.

For balance, I examine the idea of ‘big climate’ or ‘big science’, being a source of funding bias data applied against the arguments of ‘big oil’.

Read More »

Can Peter Dutton repair the democracy ‘loyal opposition’.

Democracy is under threat, and a significant part of the problem stems for the distortion of the current model of ‘opposition’. While the politics of division and polarisation of the USA Trump republicans vs Biden democrats attracts most attention on the world stage right now, what happens in Australia following the recent election which saw democracy strike back (page coming soon), has the potential to provide the world with an alternate blueprint for the role of the opposition party, which could reinvigorate democracy and spread to the US and elsewhere.

Is there an alternative to the current Republicans vs Democrats style, where ‘opposition’ is about each party demonising the other?

Read More »

Solar Electric Vehicles: What you can, and can’t do with solar power.

There are solar boats and even a plane already, yet the EVs we are most familiar with are cars, and despite all the models on sale, none so far is solar powered.

However, that is set to set to change with at least 3 solar powered cars nearing production, and of course the solar does not have to built into the car to enable solar powered travel. I decided to publish a page as a place where I can continue to add updates as progress occurs.

Read More »
David Attenborough covers the impact of the population crisis on nature, I focus on how population affects our lives day to day.

Welcome to One Finite World. As opposed to blog posts that convey a persons thoughts at one point in time, most pages here continue to evolve to be improved and updated over time, and are explorations of ideas being examined to discover answers, by career analyst of future trends with a background in science.me to One Finite World. These pages are explorations of a variety of topics from a futurist perspective, and unlike blog posts, have their content updated and improved over time.

The pages are not “this is what I think”, but more “here is the information I have, so what is the answer, and am I missing things?”.

What is here that might be of interest? And how to find it? The summaries, surprises and myths are of potential interest to everyone, while other content is more specialised. The search box and categories to right may help, but the contents below intended to best facilitatinallow finding anything and is organised from general interest through to the more specific as the intended best path to navigate to find content of interest, with the most common theme be .

  1. Population. My journey to understanding population and overpopulation.
    • Normal Population growth mirrors what happens with cells within our bodies, there is growth to maturity, growth for repair, but otherwise, there is stability.
    • Our recent population explosion was not normal, and resulting in an unsustainable population without major concessions to how we live.
    • We are at peak child and approaching Peak Humanity:
    • Further population growth will erode quality of life for all but a small elite group.
    • We have only one finite world, which can only host a finite amount of life. One of the biggest questions is how much of the life we share the planet with should be other humans, and how much do we leave for other living things?
    • Is increasing the percentage of life that is us humans essential for economic growth, or from a certain point, does it means a smaller share each of an increasingly damaged planet?
    • Does the qualify of life suffer for all without the wealth to increase their share?
    • A summary of the findings from exploration of the population explosion, the impact of future population, and how this elephant in the room taboo topic is not only, as discussed by David Attenborough, critical to the natural world.
    • The economic future as the battle intensifies between those running the humanity equivalent to a chicken farm, and the masses or ‘caged hens’ producing the golden eggs.
  2. Key highlights and surprises from deeper explorations of contemporary topics such as:
  3. In depth explorations of a range of contemporary topics for those interested in the topics:
  4. ‘Posts’ that reflect a chronology of events:
  5. Science and Technology Explorations.
  6. Product Reviews: Of potential interest to those looking for information on a product I have reviewed.

Anyone who believes in indefinite growth in anything physical, on a physically finite planet, is either mad or an economist.”

Attributed to Kenneth Boulding in: United States. Congress. House (1973)